Why Did My Health Insurance Go Up So Much in 2027? A South Carolina Explainer
If your 2027 renewal notice made you wince, there is a reason: three separate changes hit at once this year.
Reviewed by Lara Heath, ACA Sales Manager, Agent & Broker
Published · Updated
In this guide
Your health insurance went up in 2027 for three reasons that hit at once: the enhanced federal tax credits expired after 2025, carriers raised their full-price rates again for 2027, and several carriers left South Carolina counties. In South Carolina, the full-price benchmark silver premium for a 40-year-old, before subsidies, rises in all 46 counties, from +11.0% in Beaufort to +46.8% in Lee, with an enrollment-weighted average of +24.8%.
Reason 1: The enhanced tax credits ended after 2025
From 2021 through 2025, Congress boosted Marketplace tax credits. Those enhanced credits lowered what people paid at every income level and removed the income cap entirely. They expired at the end of 2025.
The effect showed up in 2026. KFF estimated that Marketplace enrollees faced an average premium payment increase of 114% to keep the same plan once the enhanced credits ended. Average monthly net premium payments rose 58%, and national Marketplace enrollment fell from 22.1 million in 2025 to 19.2 million in February 2026.
For 2027, the credit is generally limited to households between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level, unless Congress acts. That is the "subsidy cliff." For a single person, 400% of the 2026 poverty guideline is $63,840. Earn a dollar more and you generally get no credit at all.
At the other end, South Carolina did not expand Medicaid. Adults below 100% of the poverty level generally do not qualify for Marketplace tax credits or Medicaid, which leaves some of our lowest-income neighbors without an affordable option.
Reason 2: Full-price rates went up again for 2027
Separate from the tax credits, carriers raised the underlying price of their plans. Nationally, KFF's review of 276 insurers' filings found a median proposed increase of 15% for 2027. Insurers pointed to rising health care prices as the primary driver, along with the end of the enhanced credits and a related increase in the risk pool's morbidity. That means carriers expect the people who keep coverage to be sicker on average.
In South Carolina, our analysis of PY2027 SC Marketplace data shows the benchmark silver plan up +24.8% on an enrollment-weighted basis. See every county in our 2027 rate changes by county report.
Reason 3: Carriers left, and the benchmark moved
Fewer carriers means less price competition and, for many people, a forced plan change:
- Molina offered plans in 37 South Carolina counties in 2026 and none in 2027.
- UnitedHealthcare leaves Cherokee, Chester, Colleton, Lancaster, Laurens, Lee, Marlboro and Union.
- InStil Health leaves Spartanburg.
When carriers come and go, the second-lowest-cost silver plan in your county can change. In 22 of South Carolina's 46 counties, the 2027 benchmark comes from a different carrier than in 2026. Since that benchmark plan sets your tax credit, a new benchmark can change your net price even if your own plan barely moved. More in Don't auto-renew.
Two South Carolina examples
| Greenville County | Lee County | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 benchmark silver, age 40 | $592 | $536 |
| 2027 benchmark silver, age 40 | $741 | $787 |
| Change | +$149 (+25.2%) | +$251 (+46.8%) |
| 2027 carriers | Ambetter, BCBS, First Choice Next | Ambetter, BCBS |
| Carriers leaving for 2027 | None | Molina, UnitedHealthcare |
| 2027 benchmark plan | First Choice Next Silver Signature | Ambetter Signature Silver SC |
| Est. 2027 tax credit, single, $55,860 income | about $266/mo | about $312/mo |
| Annual full price, no credit (over 400% FPL) | $8,896 | $9,450 |
Premiums are full-price monthly premiums for a 40-year-old, before subsidies. Tax credit estimates assume a single 40-year-old with household income of $55,860 (350% of the 2026 poverty guideline), who is expected to pay 10.22% of income, about $476 a month, for the benchmark plan. Your credit will differ.
Greenville County
Greenville kept all three of its 2026 carriers, yet its benchmark still rose $149 a month to $741. The benchmark did change hands, though: it was a BCBS plan in 2026 and is First Choice Next Silver Signature for 2027.
For our single 40-year-old earning $55,860, the credit grows with the benchmark. If they pick the benchmark plan, they pay roughly $476 a month. If they earn just over $63,840, though, they get no credit and pay the full $741, or $8,896 a year.
Lee County
Lee has the steepest increase in the state. The benchmark rose $251 a month, from $536 to $787. Lee also lost Molina and UnitedHealthcare, so only Ambetter and BlueCross BlueShield of SC remain. Anyone who had a Molina or UnitedHealthcare plan in Lee must pick a new plan.
A Lee County resident above the 400% line pays $9,450 a year at full price for the benchmark plan. Below the line, the larger benchmark means a larger credit, which softens most of the increase.
So who actually pays more?
- People earning over 400% FPL. They pay the full price, and the full price went up.
- People who keep a plan that rose faster than the benchmark. The credit only grows as much as the benchmark does.
- People whose carrier left. Their replacement plan may cost more or have a different network.
- People who don't update their income. An outdated estimate can mean the wrong credit now and a surprise at tax time.
If you fall into one of these groups, a short review with one of our agents can usually find a better fit. We compare every carrier in your county, check your doctors and prescriptions, and update your income estimate with you.
What you can do now
- Log in to HealthCare.gov and review the 2027 price of your current plan after your credit.
- Update your 2027 income estimate. See how to estimate your 2027 income.
- Check whether you are near the 400% FPL subsidy cliff. Small changes, like a retirement contribution, can matter. Ask your CPA.
- Compare all carriers in your county, including Bronze, Silver and Gold options.
- Enroll by December 15 for a January 1 start. Open Enrollment ends January 15, 2027, but later enrollments start February 1.
Frequently asked questions
Three changes hit at once: the enhanced tax credits expired after 2025, carriers raised full-price rates for 2027, and several carriers left South Carolina counties. Full-price benchmark silver premiums for a 40-year-old rose +24.8% on average statewide, before subsidies.
The temporary enhanced credits that Congress passed expired after 2025. The original ACA credit remains for households between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level. For 2027, the expected contribution tops out at 10.22% of income for people between 300% and 400% FPL. See our subsidy guide.
We can't predict that. As of today, the enhanced credits are not in effect for 2027. If the law changes, we will update our guidance and help clients adjust.
No. County figures track the benchmark plan for a 40-year-old. Your price depends on your plan, age, income, household size and tobacco use.
Often, yes. Switching carriers, changing metal levels or updating your income estimate can all change what you pay. Bronze plans cost less each month but have higher deductibles, so weigh both.
Sources
- ACA Marketplace Enrollment Is Down By 3 Million After Big Jump in Premium Payments — KFF
- How Much and Why ACA Marketplace Premiums Are Going Up in 2027 — KFF
- Explaining Health Care Reform: Questions About Health Insurance Subsidies — KFF
- Rev. Proc. 2026-26: 2027 applicable percentage table — IRS
- Annual Update of the HHS Poverty Guidelines (2026) — Federal Register
- Dates and deadlines for 2027 health insurance — HealthCare.gov
- Murdock Insurance Group analysis of PY2027 SC Marketplace rate filings / plan data
Premiums shown are full-price monthly premiums for a 40-year-old before subsidies, from Murdock Insurance Group's analysis of PY2027 South Carolina Marketplace plan data. Your actual cost depends on your age, income, household size, tobacco use and the plan you choose. Murdock Insurance Group is a licensed, independent insurance agency. We are not affiliated with HealthCare.gov, CMS or any government agency. Information about income and tax credits is general information, not tax advice. Talk with a CPA or tax professional about your situation.

Reviewed by
Lara Heath
ACA Sales Manager, Agent & Broker
I'm a field agent who helps individuals and groups with health and life insurance.
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